Morning Post 12/12/2025 SPX

Good morning STB!

Thinking about good things this morning, what can we come up with today? Truth is being exposed and cannot be suppressed. Note: truth can hurt.

Good v evil 

On to the lie - 

Minis off 5. Last two days the DOW has rallied ~1500 points and SPX only 75. Clearly the have and have nots. Not a very reassuring model. SPX remains at a lower high clinging to the right shoulder. The launching pad may be set. Not sure if they have enough juice to get into orbit tho. The stealth QE is saving PE for now. The Fed is going to need a bigger fuel source. Moar is the answer. The 10yr dipped but held support for now. K shaped recovery only increases the distance between the haves and have nots. Middle class destruction continues. 

“Take a look around you, Ellen. We’re at the threshold of hell!”

Have a good weekend.

Remember The reason for the season. 

Tell someone Merry Christmas today.

GL and GB! 

Morning Post 12/11/2025 SPX

Good morning STB! 

In my continued effort to be positive till the end of the year - Counting down the days, get out there and celebrate and share The reason for the season! We gotta be saying Merry Christmas to lots of people. Sadly, I’ve yet have one person tell me MC first and some even look surprised I said it to them. The best are the ones that seem to light up when I say it. Give it a try.

Good v evil 

On to the lie - 

After yesterday’s pop, minis tank and then rally quite a bit to be off only 21. This will keep SPX in the extending topping zone of the right shoulder. The Fed basically did a liquidity bandaid yesterday that’ll keep the wheels on till the end of the year. LT rates dipped a bit, but inflation is here to stay. The 10yr fell to backtest broken resistance. I do love what Pepsi did, lowering prices and sacrificing profit for the consumer. Absolutely stunning move to prove that greed is only in 99.99% of corporations. At this point the middle class appears to be falling further into the abyss with inadequate resources to ever be saved. We’ll harp more on that next year. 

“This is Christmas, the season of perpetual hope.”

Have a good day.

Merry Christmas!

GL and GB! 

Morning Post 12/10/2025 SPX

Good morning STB!

On the bright side this morning….um, X and Elon are calling out the EU for being the Orwellian nightmare they are, and so is the Trojan horse. So awesome to see our leaders standing up for human rights. Imagine, the US actually building a surveillance state that mimics China with social credit scores and stuff like that, impossible, right? PT and PLTR with OpenAI are building… what? Sure glad we got guns. 

Good v evil 

On to the lie - 

Minis flat on Fed day. We’ve been ahead of this decision mess for months and spot on with the SPX stall and the UST10 breakout. The tea leaves were easy to read, now all there is to do is follow the Fed. RS ramp or down? QE? How much? RS ramp or does the PPT control a slide to 6200 next year? They can’t keep piling on debt to solve all their problems, well, in a real world scenario they can’t. STB best trade. 

“Bumbles bounce!”

Have a good day.

GL and GB!

Morning Post 12/09/2025 SPX

Good morning STB!

16 days left. You’re running outta time to celebrate and enjoy the season. Get with it!

Good v evil 

On to the lie - 

Minis flat. Kinda like the way things are going here. Spot on my call from last week. Same with the UST10 flush in the middle of a possible breakout. In a confined area, two trend lines broken and just a resistance line left (which it’s parked on rn). I never got a final answer on the SPX RS result tho, so will they launch it or down 700 points to 6200 and the 200dma? They’re about to cut and QE, so who knows? BTC bear flag? Early in the year is a good time to reset and crash everything before the election rally later next year. 

“I never thought it was such a bad little tree.its not bad at all really. Maybe it just needs a little love?”

Have a great day.

GL and GB! 

Morning Post 12/08/2025 SPX

Good morning STB! 

Ok, we’re trying to continue with the positivity thing this month. It appears evil or bad is being exposed. Sunlight is the great disinfectant. Maybe that’s why they’re spraying the skies? There’s a lot going on in those three sentences. 

Good v evil 

On to the lie - 

Minis up 10. Pleased my stall call played out last week. Should stay here or go down this week unless they ramp it. Remember it only goes where they want it to (until it doesn’t). A controlled pullback early next year leading to a rally for the elections would be optimal. UST10 at resistance well above the 50dma threatening a breakout. Let’s see what a QE announcement does. Liquidity is DOA and needs immediate assistance. May start commenting in crypto. 

“Oh,Christmas isn’t just a day, it’s a frame of mind.”

Have a good week.

GL and GB! 

Morning Post 12/05/2025 SPX

Good morning STB!

In our continued effort to be positive this month - The Trojan horse team exposes more fraud and corruption. Yea! No one has actually been arrested yet, but I’m sure, at some point, sometime, maybe, possibly, something more than accusations and sound bites will definitely happen. I’m positive, almost. Maybe. 

Good v evil On

On to the lie - 

Minis off 7. Either forming the top of the RS or a launch pad. Looks like the .25 rate cut will happen next week. Debt cost, jobs, inflation - at this point the cost of debt is the only thing affected by this cut, but until they stop spending nothing they do really matters. It’s a shit show out there. Ukraine war is ending, so they volunteered South America to be next. Enjoy the show. 

Update - inflation is real. My UST10 chart shows a higher low and has retaken the 50dma. I’m giving an IHnS a shot here. If neutral wedge resistance at 4.1 breaks, the target will be 4.35 which coincides with next resistance. Japan reversal carry trade. I think TA still possibly works for bonds. 

Have a great weekend.

Go Dawgs!

“Every time a bell rings, an angel gets its wings.”

Merry Christmas STB! Get out there and spread some cheer. 

GL and GB! 

Morning Post 12/04/2025 SPX

Good morning STB!

So much truth is being discovered. Everyday it seems something new about history or reality is … exposed. They can’t stop it. Heck, I bet some of them are even learning new things, especially about our past. Keep watching He says.

Good v evil

On to the lie - 

Minis flat. I’d say STB best trade ideas would make exceptional Christmas gifts for the family. When this thing comes off the tracks, the us vs them narrative really gets exposed. I wonder who the military sides with? 

“Nobody’s walking out on this fun, old fashioned family Christmas.”

Have a great day.

GL and GB! 

Morning Post 12/03/2025 SPX

Good morning STB! 

Searching for positives is like buffering, that circle keeps going round and round. We’ll find them though. The rally of young folks to Christianity is massively inspiring. I guess we got through the children of the hippies (liberal/antifa) and are normalizing again. 

Good v evil

On to the lie - 

Minis up 17. Right on track so far. Settled between 68 and 6900. Needs to remain there a few more weeks. Lower high key for bears. The improbable right shoulder ramp is always on the table. See ZH for JGB post. Ya know they want an up year next year for the election. QE coming. Can they hang on? UST10 popped above the 50dma. Inflation is underestimated. Great reset coming eventuality probably accompanied by war, don’t think Ukraine is settled yet. That corrupt slush fund/sacrifice must keep going. How much patience does Russia have? 

“You’ll shoot your eye out kid.” Always remember The reason for the season. 

Have a great day. 

GL and GB!